Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $173.24
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$26.6
Polymarket Trader
0xb910...c1c6
0xb9100a8c125db47a3ef00cb930e64cf31e2fc1c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $491.78
- Realized PnL
- $274.87
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $53.21
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $960.4
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $265.32
- Potential payout
- $655.12
- Potential profit
- $389.8
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.84
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $64.34
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$25.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 40.6% 655.12 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.4% 1,013.61 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 13.9% 1,437.68 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.6% 8.04 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.6% 569.53 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.7% 150.87 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 39.8% 1,629.66 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.5% 523.94 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.6% 1,292.17 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.7% 3,445.77 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.5% 206.39 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.3% 2,008.45 shares