Polymarket Trader

0xB913F935611643b951E458Db86FaB2Dcd3AaB4d8-1782793094956

0xb913f935611643b951e458db86fab2dcd3aab4d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $722.61
Realized PnL: $606.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $252.85
Potential payout: $314.1
Potential profit: $61.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.24
Potential profit: $212.24
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $200.73
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.51
Potential profit: $169.51
User PnL: -$55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $101.01
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $81.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $18.05
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.64
Potential profit: $67.64
User PnL: -$30

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $50.86
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $51.01
Potential payout: $53.98
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $46.3
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $28.95
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $5.93
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.73
Potential profit: $32.73
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.95
Potential profit: $30.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $6.23
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.22
Potential profit: $28.22
User PnL: -$10

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $13.64
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $13.64
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $19.87
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.63
Potential profit: $20.63
User PnL: -$8.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.94

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 55% 27.27 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Up 78% 5 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?

Yes 92.6% 53.98 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 26.32 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86% 34.88 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 96% 208.33 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 57.47 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 78% 64.1 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 60% 8.33 shares