Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
Aceraspmana
0xb92400921fcb64b34430c5c69ef52466a868e0d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105
- Realized PnL
- $4.83
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$80
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.25
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 66.7% 150 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 66.6% 50 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 45% 100 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 81.1% 69.73 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 82.1% 30.27 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No 64% 0.72 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No 64.4% 6 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No 61% 18.72 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 28% 1.89 shares
- Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes 48.6% 53.53 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 78.2% 49.47 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77% 101.04 shares