No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $401
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
gavinfunda
0xb92449f0f035e2e9de00f1f9a8f19e0158af0803
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $690.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $491.25
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $271.51
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $278.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $21.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $198
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $102
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$96
No position
Will Vitality qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $204.12
- Potential profit
- $202.79
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Up position
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Down position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.04
- Potential profit
- $198.04
- User PnL
- -$81.88
No position
Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.47
- Potential profit
- $194.47
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $90.67
Houston Astros position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
No position
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $40.97
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Athletics position
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.95
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $32
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.7
B8 position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Dplus KIA position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.21
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.55
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.42
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
No position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.58
No position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $19.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.01
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.22
No position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16
Maja Chwalinska position
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.96
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?No 9.9% 40 shares
- Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Yes 75% 55 shares
- Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 84% 50 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?No 92% 90 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 400 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87.9% 400 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 68.6% 150 shares
- Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?No 85% 50 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 91.6% 29.07 shares
- Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes 82% 33.65 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.2% 300 shares
- Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 82% 20 shares