Polymarket Trader

Evmaxepaxe

@Polyxylophon1

0xb92aac34814e6669d0c45d1f9421e3a35aa9f51c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $423.56
Realized PnL: $415.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $191.01
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Martin Zubimendi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $14.75
Potential payout: $147.51
Potential profit: $132.76
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$23.6

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $47.52
Potential payout: $137.78
Potential profit: $90.26
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$48.92

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $76.4
Potential payout: $122.73
Potential profit: $46.33
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$5.83

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $58.43
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $62.05
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $72.9
Potential profit: $55.04
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$17.86

No position

Will Jack Grealish join Everton?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $36.53
Potential payout: $67.03
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $60.34
Potential profit: $30.47
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$6.94

No position

Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $57.84
Potential profit: $51.19
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$20.53

Yes position

Will the announcers say "History" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $37.47
Potential payout: $50.98
Potential profit: $13.51
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.27

No position

Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $27.38
Potential payout: $45.63
Potential profit: $18.25
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will Türkiye finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $43.75
Potential profit: $38.06
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$11.81

Yes position

Will 2+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $13.08
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$2.52

No position

Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $12.77
Potential payout: $19.49
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$2.05

AlQadsiah Esports position

Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $7.57
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.72

Over position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.82

Atlanta Braves position

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.13

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.1

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.74

Gentle Mates position

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.35

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $10.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Over position

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.84

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $6.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

No 45% 500 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 55% 500 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Down 74% 7.69 shares
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 277.62 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 11?

Yes 99.7% 150.46 shares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

BetBoom Team 47% 781.13 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Down 82% 7.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Down 80% 9.39 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Down 80% 7.5 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Down 87% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Down 79% 8.62 shares
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

BIG 43% 500 shares