Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $160.8
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $844.2
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$40.2
Polymarket Trader
0xb941...4d72
0xb94192d9eab113fd9cab53a3f43fbb5133bb4d72
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $721.72
- Realized PnL
- -$69.17
- Win rate
- 18.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $560.92
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $440.72
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$50.08
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.13
- Potential profit
- $103.13
- User PnL
- -$85.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.43
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.58
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.84
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$33.54
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$37.39
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.07
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 1,000 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 1.64 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 53% 1.85 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 54% 1.85 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 47% 2.08 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 86.2% 37.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 81.8% 66 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 13% 675.75 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 33% 675.76 shares