No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $125.25
- Potential payout
- $759.07
- Potential profit
- $633.82
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$11.39
Polymarket Trader
0xb954...4d8c
0xb954f8c83ccd46e73a653b512db3b645c41f4d8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $191.93
- Realized PnL
- $67.42
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $25.28
- Potential payout
- $537.79
- Potential profit
- $512.51
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $41.41
- Potential payout
- $193.04
- Potential profit
- $151.63
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $13.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.6
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $19.16
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.42
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.83
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.49
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.92
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.23
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$60.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.6% 537.79 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 18% 759.07 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 51% 958.16 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 49% 958.16 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 806.35 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.1% 542.51 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.5% 694.6 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.3% 1,529.24 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 17.7% 559.6 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 14.7% 752.64 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 52% 185.57 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 52% 400.74 shares