Polymarket Trader

ratrace

0xb962b2085056d4d3e6fb533cbbe2c5dd380933d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.1K
Realized PnL: $8.65K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $21.41K
Potential profit: $20.31K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $185.48

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$1.49K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$585.88

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $981.9
Potential profit: $981.9
User PnL: -$88.37

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20.4

Duke Blue Devils position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.14
Potential profit: $399.14
User PnL: -$342.02

Curtis Blaydes position

UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$98

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $148
User PnL: -$22.2

Yes position

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$11.97

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$11.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.2

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.56

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.25

Arizona Wildcats position

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.5

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.56

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.24

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.59

Yes position

Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $1.56

Alabama position

Alabama vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.9% 2,462.31 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 20% 400 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

No 57% 496 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 22% 396 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 30% 87.2 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 85% 10 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 22% 11.05 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 23% 440 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 51% 200 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 23% 130 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

No 68% 79 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 82% 800 shares