Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Polymarket Trader
bayramali
0xb9851a3b60a75c892d87f839d133204cbf5f60ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.56
- Realized PnL
- $87.48
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- User PnL
- -$50.07
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $537.19
- Potential profit
- $537.19
- User PnL
- -$106.06
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.67
- Potential profit
- $356.67
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.05
- Potential profit
- $137.05
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $15.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $95.56
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.03
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.7% 137.05 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 19.6% 183.56 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 19.8% 353.63 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 2.2% 2,193.72 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 69.3% 74.24 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 71.4% 74.24 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 27.2% 202.13 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 62.7% 202.13 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 4,950 shares