Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
frakkc
0xb9a5ca2d68e14d763a2d41ebffca0af2af9eba13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $213.68
- Realized PnL
- $156.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $63.72
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Current value
- $42.45
- Potential payout
- $53.53
- Potential profit
- $11.08
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $47.54
- Potential payout
- $47.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.54
No position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.69
- Potential profit
- $31.69
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $11.92
- Potential payout
- $31.61
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $13.51
- Potential payout
- $23.91
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $21.88
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
FURIA Esports position
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.1
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $13.55
- Potential payout
- $15.32
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.91
- Potential profit
- $12.91
- User PnL
- -$10.2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.45
- Potential profit
- $10.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
No position
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
Lightning position
Lightning vs. Stars
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Under position
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Paper Rex position
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 86.8% 15.32 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.4% 21.88 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 63.1% 47.54 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.7% 31.61 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No 57% 22.98 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 62.1% 16.1 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No 74.9% 13.35 shares
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 90.7% 11.03 shares