Polymarket Trader

Manchild

@TomlinsHotDog

0xb9a74e3170401e578b1b9c8fabb49b05462ef50f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.29K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $7.66K
Potential profit: $6.4K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $639.92

Yes position

Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $50.26
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.79

Yes position

Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.9%
Current value: $596.3
Potential payout: $853.68
Potential profit: $257.38
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $239.88

Yes position

Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $769.03
Potential profit: $767.88
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $370.77
Potential payout: $561.78
Potential profit: $191.01
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $539.19
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $469.3
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$64.74

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $359
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $78.91
Potential payout: $340.88
Potential profit: $261.97
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: -$7.52

No position

Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $336.37
Potential payout: $337.38
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: $218.79

Yes position

Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $151.47
Potential payout: $315.57
Potential profit: $164.1
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$21.15

Yes position

Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $297.34
Potential profit: $297.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.6
Potential profit: $253.6
User PnL: -$57.48

Yes position

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $170.62
Potential payout: $220.16
Potential profit: $49.54
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $75.87

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $218.64
Potential profit: $218.31
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$36.58

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $183.78
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: $15.07

No position

Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $160.1
Potential payout: $190.59
Potential profit: $30.49
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $41.48

Yes position

Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $168.14
Potential profit: $166.21
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $63.38
Potential payout: $154.58
Potential profit: $91.2
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$6.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 300 shares
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?

Yes 69.4% 27.26 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 24% 100 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Under 1% 100 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Under 12% 10 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Under 12% 100 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

Under 8.8% 79.42 shares
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.1% 17.97 shares
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 18.7% 18.16 shares
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 64.3% 38 shares
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 0.2% 847.97 shares