Polymarket Trader

WarrenNakamoto

0xb9a8bb89073c4e9e902bd676d5b796ea105d3592

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $31.04K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

Under position

Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $980.39
Potential profit: $980.39
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.74
Potential profit: $740.74
User PnL: -$400

Norway position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.7
Potential profit: $724.7
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: Morocco 1 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.84
Potential profit: $344.84
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.99K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $990.66

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.02

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.35

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 1AM ET

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690.48

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 1PM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682.66

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 3AM ET

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.04

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.61

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11AM ET

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.53

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.73

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.57

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7AM ET

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.75

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.35

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Under position

Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?

Yes 16% 312.5 shares
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?

Yes 14% 357.14 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Yes 99.9% 1,454.54 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 1,434.78 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 99.9% 4,054.05 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?

Yes 1% 3,941.96 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 74% 2,702.7 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?

Yes 6.6% 3,941.96 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Yes 11% 1,454.55 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Over 46% 1,434.78 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 74% 1,351.35 shares
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?

Yes 13% 1,538.46 shares