Yes position
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
gopay
0xb9d2b5b105dc7c0fe651d4015f9627f4007ffb68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $254
- Realized PnL
- $694.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.95K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $28.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $28.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $29K
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $29K
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.09K
- Potential profit
- $28.09K
- User PnL
- -$28.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $60.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $29.85
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $29.83
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 4-5°F on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.78
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Yes 0.2% 10 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 0.3% 275.63 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 0.2% 570 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 0.3% 30 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes 0.2% 999.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes 0.2% 200 shares
- Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 0.2% 976.56 shares
- Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 0.2% 11.72 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 0.2% 10 shares
- Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 0.3% 100 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes 0.2% 5 shares