No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $365.56K
- Potential payout
- $390.34K
- Potential profit
- $24.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $23.76K
Polymarket Trader
0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680
0xb9d89bef8c935082f6a86355bd9667402d92275a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $437.83K
- Realized PnL
- $52.73K
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $35.73K
- Potential payout
- $36K
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $32.97K
- Potential payout
- $35.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.36K
- Potential profit
- $34.36K
- User PnL
- -$10.3K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.57K
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- User PnL
- $192
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $950.54
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.01
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.21
No position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.21
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.81
Yes position
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.9% 18,262.56 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 99.8% 60,999.96 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.6% 15,948.36 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 99.7% 46,379.03 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 50,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 52,070.08 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 18,800 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.6% 18,591.03 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 96% 35,063.96 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 95.4% 5,166.23 shares