Polymarket Trader

4534i623523o41

0xb9dfd0b5db8991353b57820f8d576a1e366f1e41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $442.56
Realized PnL: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $904.04
Potential profit: $904.04
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $202
Potential payout: $202.1
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $113.86
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $6.63
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.86

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $6.67
Potential payout: $106.67
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$2.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $105.5
Potential payout: $105.55
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.14
Potential profit: $35.14
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$10.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.24
Potential profit: $27.24
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $18.81
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.02
Potential profit: $20.02
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.29
Potential profit: $18.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $9.54
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.17
Potential profit: $11.17
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.7
Potential profit: $7.7
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.2

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.67

No position

Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.36

Under position

Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.55

Lakers position

Nuggets vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.87

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.61

Under position

Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.13

Under position

Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Kings position

Kings vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.25

South Africa position

T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.67

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Kings position

Kings vs. Clippers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.07

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.95

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.2

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

Team Essence position

Dota 2: Team Essence vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Under position

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Under position

West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.12

Under position

Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 3?

No 98.9% 202.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 3?

No 94.7% 105.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?

No 76% 13.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?

No 98.8% 404.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 20?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?

No 76% 6.58 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 17?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 16?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 63% 47.62 shares