Polymarket Trader

weather69

0xb9dfda0a284ee8ce3d03fe13f62a0249d6469571

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.11
Realized PnL: $4.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.09
Potential profit: $18.09
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $7.26
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $3.11
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $577.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $425.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $304.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $285.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $268.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $226.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $199.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $198.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $197.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $159.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $149.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $133.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $131.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $118.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $99.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $54.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $53.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 52.3% 4.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 59% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 54.8% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 93% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 97.7% 9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 92% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 86% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 99.9% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 56% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 42% 5 shares