Polymarket Trader

Bohemian

0xb9e50ed239a11755cc1bba501fed4b084072f82e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.64K
Realized PnL: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $630.72
Potential payout: $724.97
Potential profit: $94.25
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $65.13

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572
Potential profit: $572
User PnL: -$531.36

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $72.5

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.26
Potential profit: $376.26
User PnL: -$259.74

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $316.44
Potential payout: $345.83
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $56.6

No position

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $202.81
Potential payout: $206
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $16.55

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.1
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.97
Potential profit: $166.97
User PnL: -$53.43

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$58

No position

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.68
Potential profit: $49.68
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.81
Potential profit: $48.81
User PnL: -$10.25

No position

Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.79
Potential profit: $19.79
User PnL: -$5.15

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $1.99
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.87

Yes position

Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?

Ends Sep 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117

Yes position

Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?

Ends Jul 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.43

No position

Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.88

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.66

No position

Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.29

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.1

No position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.84

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.32

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.83

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.78

Yes position

NVIDIA largest company before July?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.11

Yes position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.73

Yes position

Israel military action against Yemen by Monday?

Ends Jul 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.79

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.81

No position

Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.42

No position

Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

No position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.99

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.9

Yes position

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.13

No position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 8.2% 19.94 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Yes 3% 50 shares
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?

Yes 94% 93.73 shares
Will Slavia Prague win Czechia Fortuna Liga?

No 0.1% 77.88 shares
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09?

Yes 44.9% 75 shares
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09?

Yes 45% 6.15 shares
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09?

Yes 45.5% 81.15 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 78% 200 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 34% 99.99 shares
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

No 84% 333.6 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 70% 200 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Yes 21% 48.81 shares