Polymarket Trader

absolutecinema

0xb9e6a7fdcf834242f155a9378850fcc83ee5f21a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.59
Realized PnL: $25.29
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $34.59
Potential payout: $111.57
Potential profit: $76.98
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $3.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.07

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.76

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.7% 185 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 28% 111.57 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.1% 185 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 99.2 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 57% 43.86 shares
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 3% 7.81 shares
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 22% 60.45 shares
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 55% 60 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 35.5% 30.99 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 41.8% 31.1 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 75% 6.67 shares