Polymarket Trader

xfm-10-3

0xb9efc553e7e00a5330bcc2de2e712f92176f2a86

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.95
Realized PnL: -$93.47
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $95.95
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $94.05
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Arxis’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.03
Potential profit: $175.03
User PnL: -$54.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$20.9

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$50.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 190 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Yes 17% 20 shares
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 31% 175.03 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

No 26% 190 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

No 37% 190 shares
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?

No 45% 160 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Yes 40% 160 shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 53% 180 shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 54% 180 shares

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