No position
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $9.73K
- User PnL
- -$204.65
Polymarket Trader
Danubii
0xba0adcf0c74aa0f4f257e2a5505e9575dfff1a37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.52
- Realized PnL
- -$1.44
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.74
- Potential profit
- $193.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $69.75
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $12.8
- Potential profit
- $11.96
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 35% 12.8 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 5.1% 93.15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 5.7% 93.16 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.8% 71.43 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.5% 1,346.29 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?Yes 5.2% 193.74 shares
- Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No 3.7% 3,674.86 shares
- Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No 1.6% 606.25 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?No 11% 88.16 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?No 12% 88.17 shares
- Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No 1.1% 2,817.27 shares
- Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No 1.1% 2,636.36 shares