No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $12.82K
- Potential payout
- $13.04K
- Potential profit
- $228.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $760.71
Polymarket Trader
tryingout1
0xba0e86ed0b403c7a7d5c4816c752fb34c9775ceb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.13K
- Realized PnL
- $15.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.95K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- User PnL
- $539.51
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $850
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $230
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.7K
- Potential payout
- $9.21K
- Potential profit
- $506.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $632.25
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $7.49K
- Potential payout
- $7.99K
- Potential profit
- $499.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $104
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.67K
- Potential payout
- $6.72K
- Potential profit
- $40.29
- User PnL
- $317.56
No position
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $3.26K
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $121.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $129.29
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $555.3
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$135.3
No position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $71.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $188.96
No position
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $146
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.2%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $594.82
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$193.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $73.5
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $29.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $884.98
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $57.64
- Potential payout
- $763.49
- Potential profit
- $705.85
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $39.18
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $100.23
- Potential payout
- $120.18
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$12.78
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Atlanta United FC next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $37.2
- Potential payout
- $41.24
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Sporting CP next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $18.35
- Potential payout
- $33.07
- Potential profit
- $14.72
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$11.41
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Minnesota United FC next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $985.34
No position
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.47
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.15
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo sign with a new club during the transfer window?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $621.21
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.4
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.75
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $587.88
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jun 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.91
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.8
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.05
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $500.56
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $450.25
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.21
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.55
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.43
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.2
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.44
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.59
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 97.6% 411.4 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 92% 3,000 shares
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 78.4% 558.89 shares
- Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?No 98% 871.52 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Atlanta United FC next?No 86.1% 41.24 shares
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 35.5% 287.97 shares
- Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 31% 2,672.18 shares
- Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 92% 43.75 shares
- Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 91.3% 256.83 shares
- Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 92.5% 1,226.95 shares
- Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No 97% 39 shares
- Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?No 96.8% 1,024.57 shares