Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $249.88
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $996.38
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $51.72
Polymarket Trader
0xba14...c26f
0xba1406c2de7b5f3f4d3294ac401712e94583c26f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.44K
- Realized PnL
- $148.45
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $32.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $18.67
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $128.43
- Potential payout
- $621.96
- Potential profit
- $493.53
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$33.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.11
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.71
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $13.21
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.56
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$19.15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.31
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.9% 1,246.26 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 89.8% 102.75 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 65.6% 1,196.72 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 67.2% 1,196.72 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 47% 107.73 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8% 956.19 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.6% 22.96 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.1% 803.45 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3% 803.45 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.1% 177.82 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 15.3% 1,018.49 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.1% 1,261.27 shares