Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $26.38
- Potential payout
- $219.84
- Potential profit
- $193.46
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Polymarket Trader
mrval
0xba192a1fe13bc0dd5c7dd2bc948b8e578328bfc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.16
- Realized PnL
- -$35.62
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Current value
- $60.6
- Potential payout
- $193.6
- Potential profit
- $133
- Multiplier
- 3.19x
- User PnL
- $59.6
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $3.31
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $65.66
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$7.69
No position
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.4%
- Current value
- $16.88
- Potential payout
- $29.93
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp 18% 10.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp 22% 21.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp 27% 17.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp 43% 2.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 55% 9.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 49% 1.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 49% 1.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 46% 2.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 45% 2.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 53% 1.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 58% 20.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 35% 5.45 shares