No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Polymarket Trader
axelotl
0xba2152cf7f0769c7acc65d7761454580faf3881c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.77K
- Realized PnL
- $7.61K
- Win rate
- 69.6%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$669
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$225
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $786.07
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $535.06
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $328.1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$160
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$510
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $981.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.5
No position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$174
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $290.44
- Potential payout
- $528.08
- Potential profit
- $237.63
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $123.65
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.01
- Potential profit
- $515.01
- User PnL
- -$103
Yes position
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $284.95
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $215.05
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$30.05
Yes position
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $210
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $134.51
- Potential payout
- $292.4
- Potential profit
- $157.9
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $40.94
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.95
- Potential profit
- $256.95
- User PnL
- -$164.45
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $86
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $114
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.61
- Potential profit
- $161.61
- User PnL
- -$98.58
Yes position
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.95
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.72
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $510
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.94
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.43
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $40.45
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.68
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$549.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$715
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 2,690 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 20% 515.01 shares
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 73.1% 499.98 shares
- Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?No 34.7% 1,321.13 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 85% 170 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 56% 800 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 250 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 300 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 72% 3,500 shares
- Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 70% 6.34 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No 49% 3,000 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes 70% 2,000 shares