Polymarket Trader

Baux

0xba27693a36f959e5ad3a6b3819660f1a75523f88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $323.96
Realized PnL: $997.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $121.73
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $60.69
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$209.06

Yes position

Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $991.38
Potential profit: $989.89
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$224.5

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $29.09
Potential payout: $197.89
Potential profit: $168.8
Multiplier: 6.80x
User PnL: -$72.28

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $136.36
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $107.16
Potential payout: $111.86
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.16

Maja Chwalinska position

Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $0.1

Michele Ribecai position

Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.9

Cilic position

Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs Shapovalov

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4

Marozsan position

Set 1 Winner: Onclin vs Marozsan

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.55

Pierre-Hugues Herbert position

Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.92

Under position

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.45

Dplus KIA Challengers position

LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.4

Elsa Jacquemot position

Miami Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Elsa Jacquemot

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.19

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.24

Deep Cross Gaming position

LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.36

No position

Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.26

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $55.8

Dplus KIA Challengers position

LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.23

Solary position

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.59

Maximus Jones position

Miyazaki: Maximus Jones vs Fajing Sun

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.18

GRINGOS position

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $24.77

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.54

South Carolina Gamecocks position

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

BNK FearX Youth position

LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Frances Tiafoe position

BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Jack Kennedy position

Savannah: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Jack Kennedy

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Back to Back position

Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.3

Felipe Meligeni Alves position

Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin Aguilar

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.91

G2 NORD position

LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

No 69% 8.33 shares
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Yes 4.4% 2,556.31 shares
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Yes 4.1% 342 shares
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov 40% 6.05 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

No 42% 23 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Yes 52% 1.99 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

No 41% 25 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

No 40.9% 100 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Yes 51.4% 100 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Yes 50% 35 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

No 40% 50 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Yes 41% 14.9 shares