No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
swseee
0xba299348554af1eb24de1c0b0daabe2cf34fe5c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.65
- Realized PnL
- $92.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.45
- Potential profit
- $269.45
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.08
- Potential profit
- $234.08
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.02
- Potential profit
- $147.02
- User PnL
- -$6.31
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.28
- Potential profit
- $146.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.54
- Potential profit
- $96.54
- User PnL
- -$12.55
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.92
- Potential profit
- $70.92
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.33
- Potential profit
- $42.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.78
- Potential profit
- $37.78
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.78
- Potential profit
- $37.78
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $25.89
- Potential profit
- $24.34
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.65
- Potential profit
- $25.65
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?Yes 35.1% 8.54 shares
- Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes 32.9% 3.04 shares
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 67% 14.93 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Drake feature Giveon on ICEMAN?Yes 35% 2.86 shares