pUSDC

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Theo James announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

James Norton announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Eric Hovde win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Amanda Edwards be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will John Piper be the Republican nominee for IN-04?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.82
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Mathis Preston be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Washington Commanders next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Meta reach $730 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Adam Lowry win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Nicolaus Sleister be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.56
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Jelena Ostapenko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Amazon reach $276 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Anthony Jones win Top Chef Season 23?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 60 by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 70 by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) win the most gubernatorial elections in Bolivia in 2026?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will Robert Andrich record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Odd position

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

HYPE Up or Down - April 29, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 4 FC Bayern München?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Under position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 14.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Osasuna place 17th for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

BNB Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

BNB Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET