Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.89K
- Potential profit
- $7.89K
- User PnL
- -$2.68K
Polymarket Trader
0xba2cb3168709dc3880243586448d6d67afc2bf17
0xba2cb3168709dc3880243586448d6d67afc2bf17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $97.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$979.1
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$806.03
No position
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$55.12
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.26
- Potential profit
- $193.26
- User PnL
- -$87.56
No position
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$11.4
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Haitian" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.62K
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?
Ends Nov 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75K
No position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.95K
No position
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11?
Ends Jan 12, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75K
Y
Yes position
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52K
No position
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.2%?
Ends Feb 10, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7222693.65x
- User PnL
- $4.39K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
No position
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
No position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
No position
NHL: Will the Penguins beat the Kings by more than 1.5 goals in their January 13 matchup?
Ends Jan 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
Will there be more than 215 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022?
Ends Mar 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021?
Ends Jan 12, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Trump releases Epstein list today?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Under position
National Anthem O/U 120.5 seconds
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816.85
Yes position
Will Bybit buy >$1b ETH by next Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $754.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 16,000 shares
- Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?Yes 58% 1.96 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 21% 534.1 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Yes 45.3% 193.26 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No 53.4% 752.9 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?No 99.9% 2,393.33 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?No 99.9% 2,428.33 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?No 99.8% 2,428.33 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?No 99.7% 732.81 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?No 99% 1,605.92 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?No 99.8% 1,605.92 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?No 96.5% 1,731.15 shares