Polymarket Trader

tangxuaoy

0xba32c11834fa748ff8aea80d243a9880a5111afe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.03
Realized PnL: $12.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $102.22
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $28.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $71.05
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.25
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$8.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will "Star Search" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or higher on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 105 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?

No 99.9% 67.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on June 22?

No 99.8% 67.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?

No 99.9% 49.05 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on June 3?

No 99.8% 101.2 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 28?

No 99.9% 33.03 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 28?

Yes 99.9% 67.07 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 18?

No 99.9% 101.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 11?

No 99.9% 44.04 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 9?

No 99.9% 101.1 shares
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on April 27?

No 99.8% 101.51 shares