yahoo99

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $69.75
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.37
Potential profit: $31.37
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $24.57
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $14.26
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $15.15
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $17.13
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.13

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.13

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $16.97
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $13.61
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$4.86

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $17.44
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.09

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.43
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.53

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $9.78
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $9.21
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.07

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $13.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.79

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

No position

1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.02

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

France position

France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Côte dIvoire position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance