Polymarket Trader

karcharodon

@kar4arodon

0xba45273d5e0311d0185190dd6fa9d3a7a15287f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.46K
Realized PnL: $28.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $18.87K
Potential profit: $17.67K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $9.46

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $16.7K
Potential profit: $9.6K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.25K

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $9.6K
Potential payout: $16.7K
Potential profit: $7.1K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $373.22
Potential payout: $6.98K
Potential profit: $6.6K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$17.44

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$780.92

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$16.77

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$16.77

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$16.77

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$16.77

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$16.77

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.17

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.67

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 83.6%
Current value: $836
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $164
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$116

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$630

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $799.99
User PnL: -$557.29

No position

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $345.82
Potential payout: $394.1
Potential profit: $48.28
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$16.75

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47K

Over position

Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

Under position

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Pistons position

76ers vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-10.5)

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Over position

Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920

Over position

Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.61

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $483.29

Utah position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.79

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $146.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $145.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.02

Tsarukyan position

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2AM ET

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.84

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.52

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $80.82

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.53

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $68.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26?

40.1% 24.49 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

62.8% 15.93 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 97.2% 16.32 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

42% 7.14 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

55.9% 12.52 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? AND Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?

2.1% 96.1 shares
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

0.7% 429.12 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares