No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $18.95
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.85
Polymarket Trader
0xba5a...93f2
0xba5a7027a674c6d1d8b322daf5c622ae39e193f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.95
- Realized PnL
- -$434.69
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$102.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$156.64
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$242.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 42.9% 946 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.7% 16 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 68.5% 946 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 59% 547 shares