Polymarket Trader

UTILIZADOR2

0xba6cd969abff48d00ecddff5b302430f6350618b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $584.11
Realized PnL: $17.85
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $81.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $18.51
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.51

No position

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $48.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.57

Avengers: Doomsday position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $40.64
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $42.55
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $38.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Carmen Black advance to the general election for WA-04?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.38
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.33
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.88
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.55
Multiplier: 5.92x
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.95
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.75
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

L1ga Team position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Over position

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

ZEDI Esports position

Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28

AG.AL International position

Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $0.7

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

SaD Esports position

Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Chris James be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.3

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0

Over position

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 50 shares
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes 15% 50 shares
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?

Yes 11.3% 50 shares
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?

No 15% 50 shares
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?

Yes 88.8% 30 shares
Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?

Yes 87% 50 shares
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 87.8% 50 shares
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

No 96.2% 50 shares
Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?

No 14% 50 shares
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?

No 97.4% 50 shares
Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 3.6% 50 shares