No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $137.56
- Potential payout
- $145.19
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.56
Polymarket Trader
0xba6F1C803810C86CAAf5eA514d4b80174E74FfBe-1764499589235
0xba6f1c803810c86caaf5ea514d4b80174e74ffbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $154.88
- Realized PnL
- $110.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.11
- Potential profit
- $42.11
- User PnL
- -$40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $17.32
- Potential payout
- $17.78
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30?No 89.5% 145.19 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 133.74 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 133.74 shares
- Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 99.6% 132 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90% 17.78 shares
- Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 98.5% 132.01 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 87% 168.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 88% 168.18 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?No 98.4% 113.52 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 36.84 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?No 96.9% 113.52 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 99.9% 109.89 shares