Polymarket Trader

ElizabethChaney8978

0xba6f34fb8cc5932f5f2962db12e7db246e0e8cc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $992.88
Realized PnL: $5.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $868
Potential profit: $868
User PnL: -$121.52

Afghanistan position

ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $390.15
Potential payout: $765
Potential profit: $374.85
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $229.5

Sydney Kings position

Adelaide 36ers vs. Sydney Kings

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $737
Potential profit: $737
User PnL: -$449.57

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621
Potential profit: $621
User PnL: -$229.77

No position

Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612
Potential profit: $612
User PnL: -$124.24

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $403.97
Potential payout: $565
Potential profit: $161.03
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $48.02

Over position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $540
User PnL: -$156.6

No position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $538
Potential profit: $538
User PnL: -$478.82

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448
Potential profit: $448
User PnL: -$281.34

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372
Potential profit: $372
User PnL: -$283.84

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $306
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$83.77

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254
Potential profit: $254
User PnL: -$68.58

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197
Potential profit: $197
User PnL: -$2.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182
Potential profit: $182
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $147
User PnL: -$2.94

No position

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $144
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $63.36

Yes position

Will 1750 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $124
User PnL: -$33.48

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$43.68

Yes position

Brex IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $68.24
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$14.42

No position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$2.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $925.68

Yes position

Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.14

Over position

Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $739.44

Yes position

Will Karmine Corp qualify to MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.51

UNCW Seahawks position

UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougars

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.5

Yes position

Will Melania say "Peace" during Security Council events on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.88

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.44

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.02

Yes position

Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.7

Yes position

Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.6

Yes position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.04

Yes position

Will Trump say “Crying Chuck” or “Cryin Chuck” by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.32

No position

Will RS Berkane win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.65

Yes position

Will Nida Allam be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.5

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.28

Under position

Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.84

Yes position

Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.69

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.88

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.48

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $42.42

No position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Yes position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $39.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New pandemic in 2026?

Yes 10% 501 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 63% 565 shares
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

No 0.3% 736 shares
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

No 89% 538 shares
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?

No 58% 727 shares
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

No 24% 862 shares
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

No 56% 1,006 shares
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

No 80.9% 736 shares
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

No 83% 100 shares
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

No 84% 400 shares
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

No 83% 47 shares
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?

No 70% 194 shares