rprgg

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $157.45
Potential payout: $670
Potential profit: $512.55
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $89.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $200.75
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $349.25
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $158.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $467.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $127.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $372.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $99.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$17.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$17.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$17.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $449.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $448.43
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$15.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$17.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $448.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$16.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$17.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$13.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$13.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$13.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $36.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?