poorkiddo

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$69.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$38.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 52.2%
Current value: $587.67
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $539.22
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$12.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $8.61
Potential payout: $819.54
Potential profit: $810.94
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$11.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $698.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$54.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $382.89
Potential profit: $377.53
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$14.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $297.65
Potential profit: $293.03
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.39

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$150

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.86
Potential profit: $289.86
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.86
Potential profit: $275.86
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $46.43
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $191.67
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $163.27
Potential profit: $159.68
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $136.99
User PnL: -$50

Iraq position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.55
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $13.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.15
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.75
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

San Diego Padres position

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.9

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.28

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $180.32

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $64.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.13

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.11

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.45

T1 Academy position

LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.92

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.05

Yes position

Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $2.5

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET