Polymarket Trader

wankwank

0xba81a9fe2c6f2494fddb477077e17d30279033ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.73
Realized PnL: $166.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $784.12
Potential profit: $784.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.85
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $65.75
Potential profit: $65.52
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $51.82
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $52.27
Potential profit: $51.62
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.8
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $40.2
Potential profit: $39.09
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $24.58
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.61
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $28.58
Potential profit: $27.85
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $25.93
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $25.2
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $26.28
Potential profit: $25.32
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $24.75
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $23.74
Potential profit: $20.79
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $23.13
Potential profit: $22.08
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.17
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?

Ends Jun 5, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $19.58
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group A?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $18.42
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.09
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $15.98
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $16.56
Potential profit: $15.65
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.91

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

Kings position

Kings vs. Heat

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $5.03

Kings position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2025

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Mavericks position

Warriors vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 106 billion views by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 13% 7.69 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 95% 4.73 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 36% 2.78 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Down 62% 1.96 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Down 47% 2.13 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 60% 3.44 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 29% 3.45 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 87% 3.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 4?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 52% 3.85 shares