Polymarket Trader

joey3211

0xba94788a28bfeb239ebb873b2d99691ddd15f043

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.63K
Realized PnL: $12.85K
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $14.55K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $8.91K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.18K
Potential profit: $7.18K
User PnL: -$71.99

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $7.02K
User PnL: -$506.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.86K
Potential profit: $6.86K
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $3.43K
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $831.44
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$21.31

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$637

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $69.95
Potential payout: $245.51
Potential profit: $175.57
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$30.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $190.48
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $18.39
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $96.55
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $8.39

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.13
Potential profit: $39.13
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $31.02
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.38K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.09

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.53

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$723.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 3,925.09 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 338.69 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 3.6% 5,843.71 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 3.6% 877.71 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 3.6% 367.5 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 3.6% 603.38 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 40% 15 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 40.7% 245.51 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 54% 503.75 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 46% 39.13 shares
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 1,140.42 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Yes 5.8% 2,880.44 shares