Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $950.38K
- Potential payout
- $951.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- $810.76K
Polymarket Trader
denizz
@denizz_poly
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.42M
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $119.93K
- Potential payout
- $230.63K
- Potential profit
- $110.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $60.44K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $24.05K
- Potential payout
- $137.45K
- Potential profit
- $113.4K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $8.64K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $106.32K
- Potential payout
- $110.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.66K
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $90.04K
- Potential payout
- $90.72K
- Potential profit
- $680.44
- User PnL
- $19.82K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $77.72K
- Potential payout
- $89.85K
- Potential profit
- $12.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.78K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.85K
- Potential profit
- $88.85K
- User PnL
- -$58.54K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $66.34K
- Potential payout
- $71.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $13.04K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $47.88K
- Potential payout
- $64.57K
- Potential profit
- $16.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $14.82K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $40.01K
- Potential payout
- $47.91K
- Potential profit
- $7.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $41.24K
- Potential payout
- $47.68K
- Potential profit
- $6.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.38K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $43.66K
- Potential payout
- $45.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $408.43
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $43.4K
- Potential payout
- $45.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $113.9
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $44.76K
- Potential payout
- $44.96K
- Potential profit
- $202.33
- User PnL
- $8.74K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.3%
- Current value
- $34.04K
- Potential payout
- $40.4K
- Potential profit
- $6.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $9.89K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $37.71K
- Potential payout
- $40.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $858.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $37.66K
- Potential payout
- $37.72K
- Potential profit
- $56.58
- User PnL
- $31.63K
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $36.14K
- Potential payout
- $36.62K
- Potential profit
- $476.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.69K
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $25.29K
- Potential payout
- $31.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $26.83K
- Potential payout
- $30.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $26.78K
- Potential payout
- $27K
- Potential profit
- $215.98
- User PnL
- $6.22K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $15.2K
- Potential payout
- $25.77K
- Potential profit
- $10.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $106.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 94% 656 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 12% 22.2 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 12% 5,041.67 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 12.8% 2,049.43 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 99% 841.14 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 99% 3,609.44 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 21.9% 1.19 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 22.4% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 24% 12,607.75 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 26.1% 767.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 27% 576.11 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 82% 464.58 shares