Polymarket Trader

0xbAa2DaEa88cc72875D5fD1C37baa5493A6F9993B-1781033544134

0xbaa2daea88cc72875d5fd1c37baa5493a6f9993b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.7
Realized PnL: $221.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$67.43

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.14
Potential profit: $477.14
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

San Diego Padres position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $108.93
Potential profit: $108.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $29.21
Potential payout: $95.77
Potential profit: $66.56
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.79

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $33.26
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $42.11
Potential profit: $27.59
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.89
Potential profit: $34.89
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $27.66
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.94
Potential profit: $24.94
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $10.47
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $12.79
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.66
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $18.07
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $12.33
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.3%
Current value: $10.37
Potential payout: $18.74
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 1.81x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.8
Potential profit: $16.8
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.74
Potential profit: $13.74
User PnL: -$7.97

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.17

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Infamous position

Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Up 62% 14.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 56% 8.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Down 28% 10.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Down 51% 7.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Up 63% 4.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 82% 3.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 94% 10.64 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Down 75% 2.67 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Up 54% 9.26 shares