Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $149.14
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $879.42
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$260.57
Polymarket Trader
0xbAC4d860833f4b14e98F02dbC2F6330E56490b74-1775164254974
0xbac4d860833f4b14e98f02dbc2f6330e56490b74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.14
- Realized PnL
- -$63.33
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.11
- Potential profit
- $240.11
- User PnL
- -$43.22
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.03
- Potential profit
- $231.03
- User PnL
- -$73.93
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $73.17
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.54
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.35
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.06
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.54
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 633.55 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 63.2% 310.57 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 62.1% 310.56 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 55.4% 348.02 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 58.2% 348.02 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 45.8% 442.23 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 49.2% 442.24 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 30% 138.47 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 24% 173.05 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 54% 173.06 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 28% 333.78 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 32% 333.78 shares