Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $151.82
- Potential payout
- $175.51
- Potential profit
- $23.69
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.52
Polymarket Trader
knyzh
0xbadaceb5a7752879cc226cdb1407fd930b58fe22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.66K
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $163.47
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $63.47
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $120.22
- Potential payout
- $168.15
- Potential profit
- $47.92
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $20.22
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $153.44
- Potential payout
- $167.69
- Potential profit
- $14.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $44.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $136.07
- Potential payout
- $164.93
- Potential profit
- $28.86
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $105.79
- Potential payout
- $152.24
- Potential profit
- $46.45
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $131.25
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $7.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $31.25
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $132.01
- Potential payout
- $136.66
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $116.08
- Potential payout
- $133.43
- Potential profit
- $17.35
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $16.08
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $126.58
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.83
- Potential profit
- $123.83
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $123.46
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $112.33
- Potential payout
- $122.7
- Potential profit
- $10.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.33
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $119.37
- Potential payout
- $122.62
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $116.22
- Potential payout
- $121.51
- Potential profit
- $5.29
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $16.22
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $101.45
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.22
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.15
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.47
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.93
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $38.71
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $30.91
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.74
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.41
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.18
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
No position
Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.97
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.54
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.9% 175.51 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No 81.5% 122.7 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 29.5% 156.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 80.7% 116.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 164.93 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 65.7% 152.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No 81.6% 122.62 shares
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 64.1% 156.08 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?No 72% 138.89 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?No 74.9% 133.43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83% 120.48 shares