Polymarket Trader

smartspec1

@smartspec01

0xbade82415e3b67c2c9446625104b16d4beeeb0d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.23K
Realized PnL: $589.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $850.41
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $169.56

Yes position

Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.41
Potential payout: $48.57
Potential profit: $37.15
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.68

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $24.37
Potential payout: $36.65
Potential profit: $12.28
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.12

Andreeva position

Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $8.13
User PnL: -$3.7

Gabriela Ruse position

Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchova

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.6

Ruse position

Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.9

Bekzat Almakhan position

UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.5

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.32

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Manel Kape position

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.01

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.18

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Andreeva position

Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

Carlos Prates position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Over 3.5 position

Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Maja Chwalinska position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Elina Svitolina position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Gabriel Bonfim position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Michel Pereira 7% 2.56 shares
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Michel Pereira 39% 2.56 shares
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)

Farman Hasanov 99.9% 1.49 shares
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)

Farman Hasanov 77% 1.49 shares
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Bekzat Almakhan 70% 1.43 shares
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)

Tahir Abdullayev 59% 2.17 shares
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)

Tahir Abdullayev 46% 2.17 shares
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchova

Gabriela Ruse 32% 5 shares
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)

Ruse 58% 5 shares
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 44.2% 10 shares
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?

Yes 21% 9.45 shares