No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $433.13
- Potential payout
- $753.28
- Potential profit
- $320.14
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $115.25
Polymarket Trader
willalways
0xbae50178b9b59459b718658fa4e1f57a95a245e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $790.65
- Realized PnL
- $7.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $67.58
- Potential payout
- $643.62
- Potential profit
- $576.04
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$123.29
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $588.03
- Potential profit
- $568.04
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$106.66
Yes position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $45.73
- Potential payout
- $397.63
- Potential profit
- $351.91
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$23.15
Yes position
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $23.18
- Potential payout
- $389.53
- Potential profit
- $366.35
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$55.15
Yes position
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.15
- Potential profit
- $349.15
- User PnL
- -$39.18
Yes position
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.73
- Potential profit
- $160.73
- User PnL
- -$14.68
No position
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $98.31
- Potential payout
- $99.25
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Will "Supergirl" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $13.82
- Potential payout
- $46.06
- Potential profit
- $32.25
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $37.14
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $25.62
- Potential payout
- $31.83
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $12.97
No position
Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $11.02
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
No position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.8
No position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.4
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.63
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.29
Yes position
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $341.28
No position
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.43
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.59
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.39
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.93
Yes position
Will a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.34
No position
Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.1
Yes position
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.55
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.21
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.08
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101
Yes position
Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.65
No position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.95
Yes position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.32
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.83
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.7
Yes position
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?No 2% 18 shares
- Will Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?No 22% 18 shares
- SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?No 15.1% 14.05 shares
- Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?No 52% 10 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 63% 5 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 49% 5 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 63% 5 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 60% 10 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 60% 10 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 22.9% 15.04 shares
- Will "The Death of Robin Hood" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 86.8% 19.84 shares
- Will "The Death of Robin Hood" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 95% 20 shares