Polymarket Trader

LeonHart26

0xbaf965b4b684709ea4dbbf5371c90ea74906a7b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.26
Realized PnL: $26.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Connecticut Huskies position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $10.16
User PnL: -$6.97

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $9.63
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.69
Potential profit: $8.69
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Creighton Bluejays position

Creighton Bluejays vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$3

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $5.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $5.09
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: -$2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $4.47
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76
Potential profit: $3.76
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.14

Providence Friars position

Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Providence Friars

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Pimblett position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36
Potential profit: $2.36
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Butler Bulldogs position

Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogs

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Liverpool be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

No 85% 1.18 shares
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 93.6% 2.14 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 95.1% 1.05 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 70% 2.86 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 86% 2.33 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkina

Janice Tjen 49% 2.04 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 1.18 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares