No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $284.83
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Polymarket Trader
LaiCaiLaiCaiLaiCai
0xbb09c3a373cc36a0d61a459e16d3771484ac738d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $491.91
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $123.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $49.73
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $33.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.4
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.88
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.75
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.01
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
No position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.19
No position
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.11
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
No position
Will Trump announce tariffs on Russia on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.32
Yes position
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.13
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.22
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.33
Yes position
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?No 91% 54.95 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?No 90.3% 100 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?No 93% 100 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 76% 52.63 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 25?Up 98.4% 200 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?No 78.8% 50.76 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?No 5% 50 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?No 92% 54.35 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 24?Up 74% 50 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.4% 125 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 1,485.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.1% 967.74 shares