No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $676
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $124
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $60
Polymarket Trader
0xbb15...df4c
0xbb15104510f9c6117e208ae0f68845a6b218df4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $893.24
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $177
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $25.55
- Potential payout
- $170.33
- Potential profit
- $144.78
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.14
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $27.66
- Potential payout
- $63.58
- Potential profit
- $35.92
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $6.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.72
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.99
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.54
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.35
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.64
No position
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 93% 600 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.4% 352.32 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?No 93% 400 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.5% 112.8 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 40% 141.1 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 7% 113.13 shares
- Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?No 93.8% 328.8 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 64% 400 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 89% 20 shares