Polymarket Trader

2gger23

@MatiMzw

0xbb38bbc7019489fa5b272eb7e5e430592236ae5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.37
Realized PnL: $11.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$125.3

Yes position

Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$149.5

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39.5

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.31
Potential profit: $74.31
User PnL: -$4.88

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Starmer out by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.35
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$16.8

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $34.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.26
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$29.8

Yes position

Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $28.84
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$12.24

Yes position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $23.03
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$9.43

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.66
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Robert Lewandowski join Chicago Fire?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.81
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Vikings position

Cardinals vs. Vikings

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72K

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

Colts position

Colts vs. Patriots

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.76

Magic position

Hornets vs. Magic

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810.22

Yes position

Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?

Ends Oct 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.27

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Padres Series Winner

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Giants

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.96

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $76.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.5

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.2

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.57

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.29

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.7

Yes position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.15

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 59% 50 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 59% 50 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 35.3% 25.26 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 53.5% 36.44 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

No 73% 30 shares
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

No 91% 20 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

No 90.5% 49.81 shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 55% 100 shares
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

No 96.6% 100 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 83.2% 80 shares
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Yes 4.1% 149.99 shares
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

No 76% 100 shares