Polymarket Trader

DoggoTrade

0xbb39ba863319281427a482c8714ffdf69cb7ee8a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.91K
Realized PnL: $121.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $9.02K
Potential payout: $44.13K
Potential profit: $35.11K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$13.05K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $35.11K
Potential payout: $44.13K
Potential profit: $9.03K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $13.04K

Yes position

Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$5.48

Yes position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $66.23
Potential payout: $735.93
Potential profit: $669.7
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$231.29

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $85.41
Potential payout: $551.01
Potential profit: $465.6
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$52.35

No position

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $264.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $35.55
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $39.45

No position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $211.45
Potential payout: $223.76
Potential profit: $12.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.41

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.51
Potential profit: $173.51
User PnL: -$79.82

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $100.82
Potential payout: $155.11
Potential profit: $54.29
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$20.16

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.66
Potential profit: $150.66
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.66
Potential profit: $150.66
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.66
Potential profit: $150.66
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.66
Potential profit: $150.66
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.66
Potential profit: $150.66
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.05
Potential profit: $90.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $34.96
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $11.34
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.13
Potential profit: $32.13
User PnL: -$17.03

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $15.73
Potential payout: $27.85
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.34K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05K

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.78K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.33K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.95K

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.48K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.83K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 92.6% 2,692.64 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 92.6% 444.53 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 91.1% 200 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 66.9% 2,122.52 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes 30.3% 814.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes 30.3% 814.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 66% 814.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 59.1% 409 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes 38.2% 315.33 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes 29.5% 949.53 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 356.43 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 814.5 shares